Numerical investigation of a fractional order Wolbachia invasive model using stochastic Bayesian neural network

Abstract

The major goal of this research study is to solve the fractional order Wolbachia invasive model (FWIM) by developing a computational framework based on the Bayesian regularization backpropagation neural network (BRB-NN) approach. The population of mosquitoes is categorized into two classes, Wolbachia-infected mosquitoes and Wolbachia-uninfected mosquitoes. We also incorporate incomplete cytoplasmic incompatibility and imperfect maternal transmission. We investigate the effects of the fractional order derivative (α) and reproduction rate of Wolbachia-infected mosquitoes ϕw on the dynamics of mosquitoes. The proposed Bayesian regularization backpropagation scheme is applied to three distinct cases using 80% and 20% of the created dataset for training and testing, respectively, with 15 hidden neurons. Comparisons of the results are presented to verify the validity of the proposed technique for solving the model. The Bayesian regularization approach is used to lower the mean square error (MSE) for the fractional order Wolbachia invasive model. The achieved results are based on MSE, correlation, state transitions, error histograms, and regression analysis to confirm the effectiveness of the suggested approach. Additionally, the absolute error value modifies the designed approach’s accuracy.

Keywords

• Fractional derivative
• Wolbachia
• Neural network
• Mathematical model
• Bayesian regularization backpropagation
• Mean square error