Xin yixue (Jan 2022)

Pediatric asthma risk score and asthma prediction index in risk prediction of asthma in recurrent wheezing children

  • Chen Guohua, Huang Weimin, Pan Zhiwei, Bai Jun, Zhao Shunwan, Liu Zhigang, Liu Hongyong

DOI
https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.0253-9802.2022.01.007
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 53, no. 1
pp. 28 – 31

Abstract

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Objective To evaluate the value of pediatric asthma risk score （PARS） and asthma predictive index （API） in predicting the risk of asthma in children with recurrent wheezing, aiming to provide sufficient evidence for accurate prediction of pediatric asthma. Methods Clinical data of 100 children with recurrent wheezing, aged 1 to 3 years old, were collected. PARS and API were assessed. The incidence of asthma was observed during follow-up. The prediction efficiency of PARS, API or two combined was statistically compared. Results The sensitivity and specificity of PARS in predicting asthma in children with recurrent wheezing were 54.55% and 86.52%, and the area under the receiver operating curve （AUC） was calculated as 0.744 （95%CI 0.578-0.909）, 72.73%, 52.81% and 0.628 for API （95%CI 0.460-0.796）, and 81.82%, 44.94% and 0.634 for PARS combined with API （95%CI 0.474-0.794）, respectively. The AUC of PARS was slightly higher compared with those of API and two combined, whereas no statistical significance was found among these three groups （both P > 0.05）. Conclusions PARS and API have clinical value in predicting the risk of asthma in children with recurrent wheezing.

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