Проблеми Законності (Dec 2019)
Hybrid threats in the civil security sector in Ukraine
Abstract
The article focuses on hybrid threats’ study in the civil security sector in Ukraine. The analysis covers the whole range of activities of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Ukraine, taking into account the activities of National Police, National Guard, State Border Service, State Emergency Service, State Migration Service and service centers. The study was conducted on the basis of unique empirical materials obtained - the results of questioning of MIA and CEB experts on identification and assessment of likelihood and impact of hybrid threats in civil security sector, based on the respondents' own professional experience and their expertise in identified background. The validity of the expert sample obtained is substantiated, based on the introduction of logical error detection indicators in the questionnaire. The key areas of the study are identification, rating and ranking of hybrid threats in the field of civil security in Ukraine. Ranking of hybrid threats was divided into four groups and ranked in each group, it was based on the expert evaluation and application of threat matrix. Particular emphasis is placed on the most significant threats in the field of civil security, which require immediate response and development of appropriate state counteraction policies and the reduction of their risk. It is emphasized that today it is justified to develop draft normative acts to regulate this line of activity. In this context, the Ministry of Internal Affairs has an unique structure and in addition to efforts of the central departments, coordinated communication with the CEB, whose activities are directed and coordinated by the CMU through the Minister of Internal Affairs, will ensure that, in such a condition, appropriate expertise will be created on complexity and effectiveness of counteracting hybrid threats, informing the national security’s subjects of Ukraine with the information necessary for making sound management decisions in the said field.
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