Simulation modelling of the municipal sanatorium-tourist branch

Abstract

This issue is devoted to urban dynamics research and modelling of Sochi resort region. Sochi is a Russian resort city, situated near the southern Russian border. Under current conditions, there is a need to work out new approaches to management that can aim at expanding the city’s capacity to develop itself and enhance the quality of life of its residents. One of them is the use of long-term forecasting in the practice of the city’s government, which would align the interests of the city’s business, authorities, and residents. The imitation modelling method ensures the iterative process of developing the model which is characterized by the gradual broadening of knowledge about the system with the participation of experts and specialists in the domain area. The imitation model for the city does not provide an optimum solution unlike the classic solution for optimization objectives, but it is an auxiliary means, convenient to use for local self-government officials, of searching for solutions to certain issues related to the city’s social-economic development. On this model were made several computational experiments, and scenario analysis, which results can provide the decision maker with the needed information and forecast data.