Machine learning powered predictive modelling of complex residual stress for nuclear fusion reactor design

Abstract

Fusion In-vessel components, assembled and maintained using laser welding, one of the most promising techniques, exhibit complex distributions of residual stress, microstructures, and material properties. These residual stresses can compromise structural integrity and lifespan of critical components. Although using advanced experimental measurements can evaluate the residual stress for individual case, extending the measurements to massive number of components are costly and time-consuming. Traditional machine learning (ML) models struggle to account for the heterogeneity and anisotropy of these stress distributions. Here, we develop a novel ML framework based on the Eurofer97 steel, the structural material for in-vessel components. The ML framework is trained on high-resolution residual stress data derived from recently-developed evaluation techniques. Combining with microstructures, the model enables prediction of heterogenous and anisotropic residual stress distribution. It successfully predicts the compressive residual stress in fusion zone (∼−200 MPa) balanced by tensile residual stress in heat affected zone (∼300 MPa), aligning closely with experimental results with the R-squared value of 0.989 and the mean square error of 10−4. Unlike experiments that take hours, the ML model provides predictions within seconds. It offers valuable insights into residual stress prediction for various joints, enhancing the reliability and lifetime prediction of in-vessel components.

Keywords

• Machine learning
• Eurofer97 steel
• Residual stress heterogeneity and anisotropy
• Nanoindentation
• Microstructures