BMJ Neurology Open (Sep 2024)

Brain reserve and physical disability in secondary progressive multiple sclerosis

  • ,
  • Nevin John,
  • Jeremy Chataway,
  • Jacqueline Palace,
  • Gavin Giovannoni,
  • David Paling,
  • Frederik Barkhof,
  • Floriana De Angelis,
  • Lorraine Smith,
  • Thomas Williams,
  • Martin Duddy,
  • James Overell,
  • Basil Sharrack,
  • Sebastien Ourselin,
  • Allan Walker,
  • Siddharthan Chandran,
  • Richard Nicholas,
  • Shuna Colville,
  • Peter Connick,
  • Carolyn Young,
  • Jeremy Hobart,
  • Anisha Doshi,
  • Sharmilee Gnanapavan,
  • Helen Ford,
  • Baljean Dhillon,
  • Thanh Phan,
  • Arman Eshaghi,
  • Julia Aram,
  • Nigel Stallard,
  • James Cameron,
  • Brendan McLean,
  • Matthew Craner,
  • Domenico Plantone,
  • Jonathan Stutters,
  • Ferran Prados Carrasco,
  • Marie Braisher,
  • Moira Ross,
  • Gina Cranswick,
  • Sue H Pavitt,
  • Clive Hawkins,
  • Roger Bastow,
  • Daisy Mollison,
  • Waqar Rashid,
  • Joe Guadagno,
  • Nikolaos Evangelou,
  • Seema Kalra,
  • Alberto Calvi,
  • Yingtong Li,
  • Tiggy Beyene,
  • Vanessa Bassan,
  • Alvin Zapata,
  • Dawn Lyle,
  • Heinke Arndt

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjno-2024-000670
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 6, no. 2

Abstract

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Background The brain reserve hypothesis posits that larger maximal lifetime brain growth (MLBG) may confer protection against physical disability in multiple sclerosis (MS). Larger MLBG as a proxy for brain reserve, has been associated with reduced progression of physical disability in patients with early MS; however, it is unknown whether this association remains once in the secondary progressive phase of MS (SPMS). Our aim was to assess whether larger MLBG is associated with decreased physical disability progression in SPMS.Methods We conducted a post hoc analysis of participants in the MS-Secondary Progressive Multi-Arm Randomisation Trial (NCT01910259), a multicentre randomised placebo-controlled trial of the neuroprotective potential of three agents in SPMS. Physical disability was measured by Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), 9-hole peg test (9HPT) and 25-foot timed walk test (T25FW) at baseline, 48 and 96 weeks. MLBG was estimated by baseline intracranial volume (ICV). Multivariable time-varying Cox regression models were used to investigate the association between MLBG and physical disability progression.Results 383 participants (mean age 54.5 years, 298 female) were followed up over 96 weeks. Median baseline EDSS was 6.0 (range 4.0–6.5). Adjusted for covariates, larger MLBG was associated with a reduced risk of EDSS progression (HR 0.84,95% CI:0.72 to 0.99;p=0.04). MLBG was not independently associated with time to progression as measured by 9HPT or T25FW.Conclusion Larger MLBG is independently associated with physical disability progression over 96 weeks as measured by EDSS in SPMS. This suggests that MLBG as a proxy for brain reserve may continue to confer protection against disability when in the secondary progression phase of MS.Trail registration number NCT01910259.