Informational and Analytical Systems for Forecasting the Indicators of Financial Security of the Banking System of Ukraine

Abstract

The article is devoted to the modern development of high technologies and computer technology greatly enhanced the development of automated banking systems of banking sector organizations and allowed the synthesis of information and communication technologies for their formation.The main purpose of the article is to select the main indicators for assessing the level of financial security of the banking system of the state and identify promising areas of its development using forecasting models. In the process of research such analytical functions have been used: polynomial, exponential, power and logarithmic. The authors believe that the information and analytical provision of the financial security of the bank is an information provision that combines, on the one hand, information work, that is, ways, means and methods of collecting the necessary information, and on the other - analytical work, which includes forms and methods of information analysis and processing, which ensures an objective assessment of the situation and the adoption of a balanced management decision. As a result, forecast models were built for each of the indicators and also, it has been found that most indicators of the banking system of Ukraine in 2021-2023 will remain at “unsatisfactory” and “critical” levels. In conclusions it was proposed to introduce measures that would be aimed at improving the reliability and stability of the banking system of Ukraine.

Keywords

• financial security, information–analytical system, banking system
• banking security
• forecast models
• financial stability
• state