Coupling Monte Carlo simulation with CRITIC-enhanced water quality assessment for the Weishui Reservoir

Abstract

Traditional methods for water quality assessment often overlook the uncertainty of water quality data during the sample collection process, leading to limitations in their application. Therefore, this study combines the comprehensive water quality index (CWQI) method and the improved CWQI method based on CRITIC with the Monte Carlo method to evaluate the water quality in the Weishui Reservoir watershed. The results indicate that (1) there is a noticeable difference in water quality between the Shaxiping and Dayanzui sampling points. The water quality at the Shaxiping sampling point is excellent, with a water quality classification of Class I. In contrast, the water quality at the Dayanzui sampling point is comparatively poorer, with an average water quality classification of Class III. (2) Sensitivity analysis shows that TN, NH4+-N, and TP are more sensitive than other indicators, suggesting that they are the primary factors influencing the evaluation results. (3) Compared to the traditional CWQI method, combining the CRITIC-based improved CWQI method with the Monte Carlo method is more scientifically rigorous. It considers the variety of evaluation indicators, allocates weights rationally, and provides evaluation results that align better with seasonal variations, resulting in higher discriminative power. HIGHLIGHTS A new model integrating Monte Carlo simulation, CRITC methods, and CWQI was proposed to assess water quality in Weishui Reservoir.; Compared with the conventional model (CWQI), the new model leads to more reasonable results.; The key parameters affecting water quality in Weishui Reservoir are TN, TP, and NH4+-N.;

Keywords

• comprehensive water quality index
• critic
• monte carlo method
• water quality assessment
• weishui reservoir basin