Construction and validation of a predictive model for visual outcome after vitrectomy for polypoidal choroidal vasculopathy combined with vitreous hemorrhage

Abstract

AIM:To analyze the influencing factors of visual outcome after vitrectomy for polypoidal choroidal vasculopathy(PCV)combined with vitreous hemorrhage and establish a predictive model.METHODS: A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 129 cases(129 eyes)of patients who underwent vitrectomy for PCV combined with vitreous hemorrhage from June 2021 to January 2024 in our hospital. They were divided into elevated group(71 eyes)and non-elevated group(58 eyes)according to visual outcome at early posoperative stage(within 24 mo). Another 30 cases(30 eyes)of PCV with vitreous hemorrhage undergoing vitrectomy were selected as external validation data. The predictive value of the model for the postoperative visual outcomes of both internal and external populations was evaluated.RESULTS: The non-elevated group had a higher proportion of patients aged ≥60 years, diabetes, continuous abnormalities of the ellipsoid zone(EZ)during surgery, bleeding involving the macular fovea, and postoperative retinal scar formation than the elevated group were independent factors affecting postoperative visual acuity(all P<0.05). The AUC of the predictive model for predicting the postoperative visual outcomes of internal and external populations was 0.824(95%CI: 0.750-0.898)and 0.809(95%CI: 0.723-0.865), respectively.CONCLUSION:Patients aged ≥60 years, diabetes, intraoperative continuous abnormalities of EZ, bleeding involving the macular fovea, and postoperative retinal scar formation are influencing factors for visual outcome after vitrectomy in patients with PCV combined with vitreous hemorrhage. A predictive model based on those factors has been established, which has a certain predictive value for postoperative visual outcome.

Keywords

• polypoidal choroidal vasculopathy(pcv)
• vitreous hemorrhage
• vitrectomy
• visual outcome
• lasso regression analysis
• multivariate logistic regression analysis
• predictive