Determinants of sub-optimal glycemic control among patients enrolled in a medicine dispensing programme in KwaZulu-Natal: A cohort study, 2018–2021

Abstract

Background: The Central Chronic Medicines Dispensing and Distribution (CCMDD) programme facilitates clinically stable patients to collect their chronic medication from community-based pick-up points. Aim: We determined baseline glycaemic control and rates and predictors of becoming sub-optimally controlled for type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) CCMDD-enrolled patients. Setting: The setting of the study was eThekwini, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. Methods: We performed a cohort study (April 2018- December 2021). We linked T2DM CCMDD-enrolled patients to glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) data from the National Health Laboratory Service. We selected patients optimally controlled at their baseline HbA1c, with ≥ 1 repeat-test available. We used Kaplan–Meier analysis to assess survival rates and extended Cox regression to determine associations between time to sub-optimal control (HbA1c 7%) and predictors. Adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs), 95% confidence interval (CI), and p-values are reported. Results: Of the 41145 T2DM patients enrolled in the CCMDD programme, 7960 (19%) had a HbA1c result available. Twenty-seven percent (2147/7960) were optimally controlled at their baseline HbA1c. Of those controlled at baseline, 695 (32%) patients had a repeat test available, with 35% (242/695) changing to sub-optimal status. The HbA1c testing frequency as per national guidelines was associated with a lower hazard of sub-optimal glycaemic control (aHR: 0.46; 95% CI: 0.24–0.91; p-value = 0.024). Patients prescribed dual-therapy had a higher hazard of sub-optimal glycaemic control (aHR: 1.50; 95% CI: 1.16–1.95; p-value = 0.002) versus monotherapy. Conclusions: The HbA1c monitoring, in-line with testing frequency guidelines, is needed to alert the CCMDD programme of patients who become ineligible for enrolment. Patients receiving dual-therapy require special consideration. Contribution: Addressing identified shortfalls can assist programme implementation

Keywords

• ccmdd programme
• glucose control
• survival analysis
• type 2 diabetes
• ethekwini
• glycaemic control