GEPROS: Gestão da Produção, Operações e Sistemas (Nov 2017)

Management of Industrial Performance Indicators: Regression Analysis and Simulation

  • Walter Roberto Hernandez Vergara,
  • Rafael Henrique Barros da Silva,
  • Fabio Alves Barbosa,
  • Juliana Suemi Yamanari

DOI
https://doi.org/10.15675/gepros.v12i4.1784
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 12, no. 4
pp. 183 – 203

Abstract

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Stochastic methods can be used in problem solving and explanation of natural phenomena through the application of statistical procedures. The article aims to associate the regression analysis and systems simulation, in order to facilitate the practical understanding of data analysis. The algorithms were developed in Microsoft Office Excel software, using statistical techniques such as regression theory, ANOVA and Cholesky Factorization, which made it possible to create models of single and multiple systems with up to five independent variables. For the analysis of these models, the Monte Carlo simulation and analysis of industrial performance indicators were used, resulting in numerical indices that aim to improve the goals’ management for compliance indicators, by identifying systems’ instability, correlation and anomalies. The analytical models presented in the survey indicated satisfactory results with numerous possibilities for industrial and academic applications, as well as the potential for deployment in new analytical techniques.

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