Prognostic utility of the chest computed tomography severity score for the requirement of mechanical ventilation and mortality in hospitalized patients with COVID-19

Abstract

Purpose: To correlate the chest computed tomography severity score (CT-SS) with the need for mechanical ventilation and mortality in hospitalized patients with COVID-19. Materials and methods: The chest CT images of 224 inpatients with COVID-19, confirmed by reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR), were retrospectively reviewed from April 1 to 25, 2020, in a tertiary health care center. We calculated the CT-SS (dividing each lung into 20 segments and assigning scores of 0, 1, and 2 due to opacification involving 0%, 27.5 points for mortality (area under ROC curve >0.96), with a sensitivity of 93% and specificity of 87%, and >25.5 points for the need for MV (area under ROC curve >0.94), with a sensitivity of 90% and specificity of 89%. The Kaplan-Meier curves show a significant difference in mortality by the CT-SS threshold (Log Rank p < 0.001). Conclusions: In our cohort of hospitalized patients with COVID-19, the CT-SS accurately discriminates the need for MV and mortality risk. In conjunction with clinical status and laboratory data, the CT-SS may be a useful imaging tool that could be included in establishing a prognosis for this population.

Keywords

• COVID-19
• Diagnostic imaging
• Chest
• Multidetector computed tomography