Comparing Regression Techniques for Temperature Downscaling in Different Climate Classifications

Abstract

This study aims to identify the optimal regression techniques for downscaling among ten commonly used methods in climatology, including SVR, LinearSVR, LASSO, LASSOCV, Elastic Net, Bayesian Ridge, RandomForestRegressor, AdaBoost Regressor, KNeighbors Regressor, and XGBRegressor. For the Köppen climate classification system, including A (tropical), B (dry), C (temperate), and D (continental), synoptic station data were collected. Furthermore, for the purpose of downscaling, a general circulation model (GCM) had been utilized. Additionally, to enhance the performance of downscaling accuracy, mutual information (MI) was employed for feature selection. The downscaling performance was evaluated using the coefficient of determination (DC) and root mean square error (RMSE). Results indicate that SVR had superior performance in tropical and dry climates and LassoCV with RandomForestRegressor had better results in temperate and continental climates.

Keywords

• downscaling
• regression techniques
• Köppen climate classification
• mutual information (MI)