Evaluation of Probability of Plague Epizooties Detection at the Minimal Level of Epizootic Process Intensity Measured Using Its Modeling

Abstract

Using model of plague epizootic process in great gerbils (Rhombomys opimus) settlements, authors showed that plague epizooty could develop at low level of epizootic contact. In this case the size of epizootic site and the number of infected colonies were expected to be insufficient to detect epizooty by standard epizootiologic examination.

Keywords

• plague
• epizooty
• model
• contact