suPAR cut-offs for stratification of low, medium, and high-risk acute medical patients in the emergency department

Abstract

Abstract Background Soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) levels have previously been associated with readmission and mortality in acute medical patients in the ED. However, no specific cut-offs for suPAR have been tested in this population. Methods Prospective observational study of consecutively included acute medical patients. Follow-up of mortality and readmission was carried out for 30- and 90 days stratified into baseline suPAR 6 ng/ml. suPAR levels were measured using suPARnostic® Turbilatex assay on a Cobas c501 (Roche Diagnostics Ltd) analyser. Results A total of 1747 acute medical patients in the ED were included. Median age was 70 (IQR: 57–79) and 51.4% were men. Adjusted linear regression analysis showed that suPAR, independently of age, sex and C-reactive protein levels, predicted 30- and 90-day mortality (Odds ratio for doubling in suPAR 1.96 (95% confidence intervals: 1.42–2.70) Among patients with suPAR below 4 ng/ml (N = 804, 46.0%), 8 (1.0%) died within 90-day follow-up, resulting in a negative predictive value of 99.0% and a sensitivity of 94.6%. Altogether 514 (29.4%) patients had suPAR of 4–6 ng/ml, of whom 43 (8.4%) died during 90-day follow-up. Among patients with suPAR above 6 ng/ml (N = 429, 24.6%), 87 patients (20.3%) died within 90-day follow-up, resulting in a positive predictive value of 20.1% and a specificity of 78.7%. Conclusions suPAR cut-offs of below 4, between 4 and 6 and above 6 ng/ml can identify acute medical patients who have low, medium or high risk of 30- and 90-day mortality. The turbidimetric assay provides suPAR results within 30 min that may aid in the decision of discharge or admission of acute medical patients.

Keywords

• suPAR
• Laboratory marker
• Emergency department
• Mortality