Time Series Forecasting of Motor Bearing Vibration Based on Informer

Abstract

Electric energy, as an economical and clean energy, plays a significant role in the development of science and technology and the economy. The motor is the core equipment of the power station; therefore, monitoring the motor vibration and predicting time series of the bearing vibration can effectively avoid hazards such as bearing heating and reduce energy consumption. Time series forecasting methods of motor bearing vibration based on sliding window forecasting, such as CNN, LSTM, etc., have the problem of error accumulation, and the longer the time-series forecasting, the larger the error. In order to solve the problem of error accumulation caused by the conventional methods of time series forecasting of motor bearing vibration, this paper innovatively introduces Informer into time series forecasting of motor bearing vibration. Based on Transformer, Informer introduces ProbSparse self-attention and self-attention distilling, and applies random search to optimize the model parameters to reduce the error accumulation in forecasting, achieve the optimization of time and space complexity and improve the model forecasting. Comparing the forecasting results of Informer and those of other forecasting models in three publicly available datasets, it is verified that Informer has excellent performance in time series forecasting of motor bearing vibration and the forecasting results reach 10−2∼10−6.

Keywords

• motor bearing vibration
• time series forecasting
• Informer
• Transformer
• random search