مخاطرات محیط طبیعی (May 2016)

The prospect of the effects of global warming on the ice the country changes

  • Kamal Omidvaar,
  • Reza Ebrahimi,
  • Marzieh Jamshidi Jamshidi,
  • Ghasem Lakzashakour Lakzashakour

DOI
https://doi.org/10.22111/jneh.2016.2847
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 5, no. 8
pp. 97 – 122

Abstract

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The aim of this study was to evaluate the effects of global warming over the coming decades is frost country. For this, the first two time periods 2015-2026 and 2039-2050 in the minimum temperature data from the database at the Max Planck Institute in Germany EH5OM was extracted under A1B scenario. Then, using a dynamic model of regional climate temperature in at least two time periods mentioned in size 0/27 × 0/27 Degrees latitude areas with dimensions of approximately 30 × 30 km, covering an area of deals were downscaled. Each period of 12 years with cell size (2140 * 4380), the rows indicate the time (days) and columns represent the location (cell) via code in MATLAB days with temperatures below zero degrees Celsius, while mining and Zoning days Ice in the cold months, the slope of the trans-detector computed by Mann-Kendall and tilt sensing and maps that were drawn in the oven software. The results showed that most cold months in the period 2050-2039 of frost days over the period 2026-2015 are entitled. Most of frost days in February and in the mountainous Zagros and Alborz heights of Azerbaijan and Khorasan with 300 days appear.

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