Modeling assessment of investment risks in the regional socio-economic system

Abstract

The paper defines methodological approaches to the assessment of investment risks in the social and economic system of the region. Based on the analysis of the conducted studies, a new model for assessing investment risk at the regional level in the conditions of certainty, uncertainty, and risk is proposed, which will allow assessing the probability of losing funds from investing financial resources. As a part of this model, a methodology for developing and making decisions under different conditions depending on the determinism or randomness based on the availability of information is presented. The calculations made allow choosing the optimal strategy of investment in the regional economy with different risk indicators, which are determined as the average annual rate of inflation.