آینده‌پژوهی دفاعی (May 2023)

Analysis of the global development of technologies related to MAVs in the next decade

  • Ali Mirzaee Kahagh

DOI
https://doi.org/10.22034/dfsr.2023.1972599.1658
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 8, no. 28
pp. 33 – 55

Abstract

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In this article, an attempt has been made to analyze the global development of technologies related to MAVs in the next decade by using the basics of technology forecasting (monitoring and experts' views) and by using the fuzzy Delphi method. The current research is applied in terms of purpose, in terms of combined strategy, and in terms of implementation in the form of descriptive-survey research. The statistical population is in two levels. The first level is made up of experts in the field of the MAVs industry, and the second level is made up of university professors in the field of technologies related to MAVs. According to the purpose of the research, the targeted sampling number was 9 people in the first level and 35 people elected in the second level. The data collection tool is a researcher-made questionnaire, whose validity was determined by content method and reliability by Cronbach's alpha method. Data analysis was also done through the fuzzy Delphi method using Spss and Excel software.The findings of this research show that the technologies related to MAVs can be counted in 29 indicators and out of these 9 indicators are in the field of artificial intelligence and electronics and telecommunication technologies are in priority and should be taken into consideration by the country's officials, decision-makers, and planners.

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