Optimizing Interpolation Methods and Point Distances for Accurate Earthquake Hazard Mapping

Abstract

Earthquake hazard mapping assesses and visualizes seismic hazards in a region using data from specific points. Conducting a seismic hazard analysis for each point is essential, while continuous assessment for all points is impractical. The practical approach involves identifying hazards at specific points and utilizing interpolation for the rest. This method considers grid point spacing and chooses the right interpolation technique for estimating hazards at other points. This article examines different point distances and interpolation methods through a case study. To gauge accuracy, it tests 15 point distances and employs two interpolation methods, inverse distance weighted and ordinary kriging. Point distances are chosen as a percentage of longitude and latitude, ranging from 0.02 to 0.3. A baseline distance of 0.02 is set, and other distances and interpolation methods are compared with it. Five statistical indicators assess the methods. Ordinary kriging interpolation shows greater accuracy. With error rates and hazard map similarities in mind, a distance of 0.14 points seems optimal, balancing computational time and accuracy needs. Based on the research findings, this approach offers a cost-effective method for creating seismic hazard maps. It enables informed risk assessments for structures spanning various geographic areas, like linear infrastructures.

Keywords

• seismic hazard analysis
• spatial interpolation
• geostatistics
• kriging
• GIS
• inverse distance weighted