Deep Learning Model for Global Spatio-Temporal Image Prediction

Abstract

Mathematical methods are the basis of most models that describe the natural phenomena around us. However, the well-known conventional mathematical models for atmospheric modeling have some limitations. Machine learning with Big Data is also based on mathematics but offers a new approach for modeling. There are two methodologies to develop deep learning models for spatio-temporal image prediction. On these bases, two models were built—ConvLSTM and CNN-LSTM—with two types of predictions, i.e., sequence-to-sequence and sequence-to-one, in order to forecast Aerosol Optical Thickness sequences. The input dataset for training was NASA satellite imagery MODAL2_E_AER_OD from Terra/MODIS satellites, which presents global Aerosol Optical Thickness with an 8 day temporal resolution from 2000 to the present. The obtained results show that the ConvLSTM sequence-to-one model had the lowest RMSE error and the highest Cosine Similarity value. The advantages of the developed DL models are that they can be executed in milliseconds on a PC, can be used for global-scale Earth observations, and can serve as tracers to study how the Earth’s atmosphere moves. The developed models can be used as transfer learning for similar image time-series forecasting models.

Keywords

• deep learning model
• spatio-temporal image prediction
• aerosol
• climate change