Векторы благополучия: экономика и социум (Dec 2023)
Monitoring of the spatial development strategy implementation: population migration taking into account transport infrastructure development
Abstract
Relevance. The strategy of spatial development of the country territories is aimed at eliminating the uneven formation of regions, namely, the transport throughput limitation of the nodes "West–East" and "North–South". The population and numerical composition of the Russian Federation play a significant role in socio-economic development of the regions. The population tends to change positively and negatively; in general terms, this is measured in the increase (decrease) of migration. The solution to eliminate the problem of uneven development of regions should be based on strengthening and stimulating the position of regions capable of growth and development. However, in addition to the basic fact of resettlement, there are socio-economic indicators that are causal, accompanying transportation activity. To ensure timely control and amendments to the development strategy, it is necessary to develop a monitoring system based on geoinformation technology, which allows assessing the effectiveness of measures taken and visualizing the result. Aim. To develop a monitoring system for implementation of the spatial development strategy of territories. Methods. Information data on the methods of spatial and temporal analysis to assess the implementation of the strategy, spatial model of migration taking into account the development of transport infrastructure, calculated using local and global Moran indices, a monitoring system. Results. The authors have developed the information base of calculations – migration growth data, state statistics of regions on a number of factors for 2018–2021. The paper describes the territorial changes for the period of implementation of the strategy of spatial development of the country regions. The results are clearly reflected in the Republic of Crimea, Kaliningrad Oblast, Krasnoyarsk Krai, Republic of Sakha (Yakutia), Khabarovsk Krai. Conclusions. Management of migration flows directly depends on transportation accessibility, hence, improving transportation hubs will facilitate migration. The main contribution to migration regional flows was made by the development of transportation infrastructure.
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