Bioautomation (Dec 2007)
Modeling and Prognosis of the Strouma River Pollution
Abstract
A model for analysis and prognosis of river quality has been developed, which is a modified method of the time series analysis has been applied for an assessment and prognosis of water pollution of the Strouma river. The following indexes of the water pollution of the Strouma river have been investigated: BOD, oxidation, soluble and insoluble substance - the village of Marino Pole. Periodical seasonal and annual pollution variations have been determined, as well as basic tendencies in the evolution of the water quality for the period from years 2001 to 2003. A prognosis of the river pollution for the year 2004 has been made. The received results show the offered times series analysis modified method successfully could be used for modeling and prognosis of the water pollution of the river ecosystems.
