İstanbul Kuzey Klinikleri (Oct 2020)

A comparative analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic response: The case of Turkey

  • Engin Ersin Şimşek,
  • Abdullah Emre Güner,
  • Seval Kul,
  • Zuhal Karakurt,
  • Kemal Tekeşin,
  • Suayip Birinci

DOI
https://doi.org/10.14744/nci.2020.87846
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 7, no. 5
pp. 443 – 451

Abstract

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OBJECTIVE: COVID-19 has spread worldwide and leads to an increased risk of mortality. We aimed to analyze what actions have been effective in fighting COVID-19 in Turkey with a comparison to pandemic-affected countries. METHODS: This was a retrospective observational cross-sectional study. The Republic of Turkey Ministry of Health official web page includes data reported daily from 11 March to 26 April. Global COVID-19 data were recorded daily from https: //www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/. Data were analyzed for 31 days according to Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission, intubation and mortality rates. Segmented regression analysis was used. The results from COVID-19-affected countries were compared with the results from Turkey for the first 65 days. RESULTS: In total, 889.742 tests were performed (positive=110.130 [12.37%]). The mortality rate was 2.55% (n=2805) on 27 April 2020. The annual percent change (APC) values of the cases showed 5 segments ([23.1], [14.7] [11.4], [3.7], [0.7]; each p=0.001). ICU admission showed 4 segments (APC: [3.1, p=0.001], [-2.2, p=0.10], [-7.6, p=0.001], [-4.5, p=0.001]). The decline of APC for intubation rates showed 5 segments (APC: [1.1, p=0.10], [-1.1,p=0.001], [-2.0, p=0.001], [-0.4, p=0.40], [-2.7, p=0.001]). The mortality rates showed 4 segments (APC: [-6.3, p=0.001], [8.4, p=0.001], [0.2, p=0.30], [1.4, p=0.001]). Deaths were reported per 1 million individuals for the first 65 days: Spain 11.6%, Italy 11.4%, UK 11.3%, France 11.1%, USA 10.3%, Germany 8.4%, Iran 8.2%, Turkey 7.5%, South Korea 4.1% and China 2.4%. CONCLUSION: Public health policies and protocols to combat COVID-19 helped control the spread and decrease positive cases and mortality rates in Turkey. Turkey managed COVID-19 better than Spain, Italy, UK, France, USA and Turkey managed COVID-19 similarly to Germany and Iran. China and South Korea were best at managing COVID-19.

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