FORECASTING OF A REMAINING LIFE OF ENGINEERING SYSTEMS BY USING THE PARAMETRIC MODELS OF RELIABILITY VARIATION

Abstract

The article is devoted to the problem of forecasting of a remaining life of complex engineering systems at the operational stage. The example of solving this problem is replacement of devices if their specified life has been completed (preventive replacements) or if we extend the lifetime a system in addition to guarantee. This method allows to organize a preventive maintenance of a system taking into account its technical position at this moment all that lead to reducing the maintenance costs.

Keywords

• надежность сложных технических систем
• прогнозирующий параметр
• моделирование надежности
• обслуживание систем по состоянию
• оценка остаточного ресурса
• reliability of complex engineering systems
• predictor
• reliability modeling
• system maintenance
• assessment of remaining life