Research on a Multi-Parameter Fusion Prediction Model of Pressure Relief Gas Concentration Based on RNN

Abstract

The effective prediction of gas concentration and the reasonable formulation of corresponding safety measures have important significance for improving the level of coal mine safety. To improve the accuracy of gas concentration prediction and enhance the applicability of the models, this paper starts with actual coal mine production monitoring data, improves the accuracy of gas concentration prediction through multi-parameter fusion prediction, and constructs a recurrent neural network (RNN)-based multi-parameter fusion prediction of coal face gas concentration. We determined the performance evaluation index of the model’s prediction method; used the grid search method to optimize the hyperparameters of the batch size; and used the number of neurons, the learning rate, the discard ratio, the network depth, and the early stopping method to prevent overfitting. The gas concentration prediction models—based on RNN and PSO-SVR and PSO-Adam-BP neural networks—were compared and analyzed experimentally with the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) as the performance evaluation index. The result show that using the grid search method to adjust the batch size, the number of neurons, the learning rate, the discard ratio, and the network depth can effectively find the optimal hyperparameter combination. The training error can be reduced to 0.0195. Therefore, Adam’s optimized RNN gas concentration prediction model had higher accuracy and stability than the BP neural network and SVR. During training, the mean absolute error (MAE) could be reduced to 0.0573, and the root mean squared error (RMSE) could be reduced to 0.0167; however, the MAPE could be reduced to 0.3384% during prediction. The RNN gas concentration prediction model and parameter optimization method based on Adam optimization can effectively predict gas concentration. This method shows high accuracy in the prediction of gas concentration time series and can be used as a reference model for predicting mine gas concentration.

Keywords

• coal mine safety
• recurrent neural network
• deep learning
• grid search method