Frontiers in Earth Science (Apr 2021)
Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard and Risk Analysis: A Review of Research Gaps
- Jörn Behrens,
- Finn Løvholt,
- Fatemeh Jalayer,
- Stefano Lorito,
- Mario A. Salgado-Gálvez,
- Mario A. Salgado-Gálvez,
- Mathilde Sørensen,
- Stephane Abadie,
- Ignacio Aguirre-Ayerbe,
- Iñigo Aniel-Quiroga,
- Andrey Babeyko,
- Marco Baiguera,
- Roberto Basili,
- Stefano Belliazzi,
- Anita Grezio,
- Kendra Johnson,
- Shane Murphy,
- Raphaël Paris,
- Irina Rafliana,
- Irina Rafliana,
- Raffaele De Risi,
- Tiziana Rossetto,
- Jacopo Selva,
- Matteo Taroni,
- Marta Del Zoppo,
- Alberto Armigliato,
- Vladimír Bureš,
- Pavel Cech,
- Claudia Cecioni,
- Paul Christodoulides,
- Gareth Davies,
- Frédéric Dias,
- Hafize Başak Bayraktar,
- Mauricio González,
- Maria Gritsevich,
- Maria Gritsevich,
- Maria Gritsevich,
- Serge Guillas,
- Carl Bonnevie Harbitz,
- Utku Kânoǧlu,
- Jorge Macías,
- Gerassimos A. Papadopoulos,
- Jascha Polet,
- Fabrizio Romano,
- Amos Salamon,
- Antonio Scala,
- Mislav Stepinac,
- David R. Tappin,
- David R. Tappin,
- Hong Kie Thio,
- Roberto Tonini,
- Ioanna Triantafyllou,
- Thomas Ulrich,
- Elisa Varini,
- Manuela Volpe,
- Eduardo Vyhmeister
Affiliations
- Jörn Behrens
- Department of Mathematics/CEN, Universität Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany
- Finn Løvholt
- NGI - Norwegian Geotechnical Institute, Oslo, Norway
- Fatemeh Jalayer
- University of Naples Federico II, Naples, Italy
- Stefano Lorito
- Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Rome, Italy
- Mario A. Salgado-Gálvez
- ERN Internacional, Mexico City, Mexico
- Mario A. Salgado-Gálvez
- Centre Internacional de Metodes Numerics en Enginyeria (CIMNE), Barcelona, Spain
- Mathilde Sørensen
- University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway
- Stephane Abadie
- Universite de Pau et des Pays de L’Adour, E2S UPPA, SIAME, France
- Ignacio Aguirre-Ayerbe
- IHCantabria - Instituto de Hidráulica Ambiental de La Universidad de Cantabria, Santander, Spain
- Iñigo Aniel-Quiroga
- IHCantabria - Instituto de Hidráulica Ambiental de La Universidad de Cantabria, Santander, Spain
- Andrey Babeyko
- 0Deutsches GeoForschungsZentrum GFZ, Potsdam, Germany
- Marco Baiguera
- 1University College London, London, United Kingdom
- Roberto Basili
- Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Rome, Italy
- Stefano Belliazzi
- University of Naples Federico II, Naples, Italy
- Anita Grezio
- 2Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione di Bologna, Bologna, Italy
- Kendra Johnson
- 3GEM Foundation, Pavia, Italy
- Shane Murphy
- 4Ifremer, Plouzané, France
- Raphaël Paris
- 5Laboratoire Magmas and Volcans, Aubière, France
- Irina Rafliana
- 6German Development Institute/Deutsches Institut für Entwicklungspolitik (DIE), Bonn, Germany
- Irina Rafliana
- 7Indonesian Institute of Sciences (LIPI), Jakarta, Indonesia
- Raffaele De Risi
- 8University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom
- Tiziana Rossetto
- 1University College London, London, United Kingdom
- Jacopo Selva
- 2Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione di Bologna, Bologna, Italy
- Matteo Taroni
- Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Rome, Italy
- Marta Del Zoppo
- University of Naples Federico II, Naples, Italy
- Alberto Armigliato
- 9Alma Mater Studiorum - University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy
- Vladimír Bureš
- 0University of Hradec Kralove, Hradec Kralove, Czech Republic
- Pavel Cech
- 0University of Hradec Kralove, Hradec Kralove, Czech Republic
- Claudia Cecioni
- 1Università Degli Studi Roma Tre, Rome, Italy
- Paul Christodoulides
- 2Cyprus University of Technology, Limassol, Cyprus
- Gareth Davies
- 3Geoscience Australia, Canberra, ACT, Australia
- Frédéric Dias
- 4University College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland
- Hafize Başak Bayraktar
- University of Naples Federico II, Naples, Italy
- Mauricio González
- IHCantabria - Instituto de Hidráulica Ambiental de La Universidad de Cantabria, Santander, Spain
- Maria Gritsevich
- 5Finnish Geospatial Research Institute (FGI), Masala, Finland
- Maria Gritsevich
- 6Department of Physics, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
- Maria Gritsevich
- 7Institute of Physics and Technology, Ural Federal University, Ekaterinburg, Russian Federation
- Serge Guillas
- 1University College London, London, United Kingdom
- Carl Bonnevie Harbitz
- NGI - Norwegian Geotechnical Institute, Oslo, Norway
- Utku Kânoǧlu
- 8Department of Engineering Sciences, Middle East Technical University, Ankara, Turkey
- Jorge Macías
- 9Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad de Málaga, Málaga, Spain
- Gerassimos A. Papadopoulos
- 0International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Athens, Greece
- Jascha Polet
- 1Cal Poly Pomona, Pomona, CA, United States
- Fabrizio Romano
- Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Rome, Italy
- Amos Salamon
- 2Geological Survey of Israel, Jerusalem, Israel
- Antonio Scala
- University of Naples Federico II, Naples, Italy
- Mislav Stepinac
- 3University of Zagreb, Zagreb, Croatia
- David R. Tappin
- 1University College London, London, United Kingdom
- David R. Tappin
- 4British Geological Survey, Nottingham, United Kingdom
- Hong Kie Thio
- 5AECOM, Los Angeles, CA, United States
- Roberto Tonini
- Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Rome, Italy
- Ioanna Triantafyllou
- 6Department of Geology and Geoenvironment, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, Greece
- Thomas Ulrich
- 7Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München, Munich, Germany
- Elisa Varini
- 8C.N.R. - Institute for Applied Mathematics and Information Technologies, Milano, Italy
- Manuela Volpe
- Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Rome, Italy
- Eduardo Vyhmeister
- 9Insight Research Centre, University College Cork, Cork, Ireland
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2021.628772
- Journal volume & issue
-
Vol. 9
Abstract
Tsunamis are unpredictable and infrequent but potentially large impact natural disasters. To prepare, mitigate and prevent losses from tsunamis, probabilistic hazard and risk analysis methods have been developed and have proved useful. However, large gaps and uncertainties still exist and many steps in the assessment methods lack information, theoretical foundation, or commonly accepted methods. Moreover, applied methods have very different levels of maturity, from already advanced probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis for earthquake sources, to less mature probabilistic risk analysis. In this review we give an overview of the current state of probabilistic tsunami hazard and risk analysis. Identifying research gaps, we offer suggestions for future research directions. An extensive literature list allows for branching into diverse aspects of this scientific approach.
Keywords
