Effect of Private Sector Credit on Economic Growth in Nepal

Abstract

This study aims to examine the key economic indicators with private sector credit and economic growth in Nepal. Commercial banks and other financial institutions lend money to businesses and individuals for investment and consumption. This study aims to analyze key economic indicators in Nepal, including Real Gross Domestic Product (RGDP), Private Sector Credit (PSC), and Gross Capital Formation (GCF), spanning from 1975 to 2022. Employing a quantitative methodology, econometric techniques such as time series analysis, regression modeling, and hypothesis testing were utilized to examine the long-term relationships among these variables, with a particular focus on the impact of Private Sector Credit on Economic Growth (EG). The findings, derived from comprehensive econometric analyses including co-integration tests and vector error correction models, reveal significant insights into Nepal's economic performance and financial system. Results indicate that Private Sector Credit plays a crucial role in stimulating economic growth, with approximately 40.07% of the previous year's imbalance influenced by the long-term elasticity of independent variables. These findings offer valuable insights for policymakers, businesses, and investors, facilitating informed decision-making to promote sustainable economic development in Nepal. Further research is recommended to explore the correlation between the diversification of Private Sector Credit types and economic growth more comprehensively.

Keywords

• granger causality test
• co-integration test
• time series analysis
• unit root test
• vecm
• private sector credit