A comparative evaluation of machine learning algorithms and an improved optimal model for landslide susceptibility: a case study

Abstract

In this study, four representative machine learning methods (support vector machine (SVM), maximum entropy (MaxEnt), random forest (RF), and artificial neural network (ANN)) were employed to construct a landslide susceptibility map (LSM) in Xulong Gully (XLG), southwest China. The models were subsequently compared in order to select the best-performing model. This model was further improved to optimize the machine learning method. A total of 16 layers were extracted from the collected data and employed as conditional factors for the correlation analysis and subsequent modelling. The LSMs were then divided into four levels (very high susceptibility (VH), high susceptibility (H), moderate susceptibility (M) and low susceptibility (L)). The results were verified by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) and Frequency Ratio (FR). The higher of the area under ROC curve (AUC) and the lower the RMSE, the more accurate and stable the performance. Following the factor performance analysis, the optimal SVM model was linearity improved to the Trace Ratio Criterion (TRC)-SVM, with a better performance and the ability to overcome the factor defect. The comprehensive comparisons and proposed LSM can support future research, as well as local authorities in the development of landslide remission strategies.

Keywords

• landslide susceptibility
• support vector machine
• maximum entropy
• random forest
• artificial neural network
• xulong gully