Zhejiang Daxue xuebao. Lixue ban (Nov 2024)
Research on the measurement of rural resilience level and its development path in the eastern coastal area:A case study of Zhejiang province(东部沿海地区乡村韧性测度及其发展路径研究——以浙江省为例)
Abstract
China's rural construction has entered a new stage of development, and resilience, as a research perspective for assessing rural development, provides new ideas and innovative paths for achieving sustainable development goals. Taking Zhejiang province as an example, this paper constructs a rural resilience evaluation index system based on the "PSR" model from three aspects of pressure, state and response resilience, evaluates the development resilience of 1 155 townships (streets) in Zhejiang province, and reveals their spatial distribution characteristics and spatial correlations. The results show that: (1) The spatial pattern of rural resilience level in Zhejiang province has relatively obvious divergent characteristics. (2) The spatial pattern of comprehensive resilience level in the province shows a trend of gradually weakening from the northern and eastern coastal areas to the southern and western areas, and a small cluster of middle and high values in the urban cluster of central Zhejiang. (3) The rural resilience of Zhejiang province has a strong positive spatial autocorrelation, and the hotspot areas in the Hangzhou Bay urban agglomeration area all show significant clustering characteristics, while the coldspot areas and sub-coldspot areas in western and southern Zhejiang present a larger range of significant clustering characteristics.(4) Based on the spatial differentiation patterns on different rural areas and the results of cluster analysis, we summarize the spatial circle concept map of rural resilience in Zhejiang province and propose differentiated strategies to improve the level of rural resilience.(随着乡村振兴战略的逐步实施，中国乡村建设已进入新发展阶段，从韧性视角评估乡村发展状态，有利于推进乡村可持续发展。以浙江省为例，基于压力-状态-响应（pressure-state-response，PSR）模型，构建乡村韧性评价指标体系，对全省1 155个乡镇（街道）单元进行韧性评价，揭示东部沿海地区乡村韧性空间格局。结果表明：（1）乡村韧性具有较明显的空间分异特征，综合韧性水平呈由浙北、浙东沿海地区向浙南、浙西地区逐渐减弱的趋势，并在浙中地区出现小范围中高值集聚区。（2）乡村韧性具有较强的正向空间自相关性，环杭州湾城市群热点区域均呈现显著的集聚特征，浙西、浙南地区冷点区域和次冷点区域呈现较大范围的显著集聚格局。（3）基于乡村韧性空间分异格局和聚类分析结果，提出浙江省乡村韧性空间圈层引导及差异化的乡村韧性水平提升策略，以实现乡村振兴和乡村可持续发展目标。)
Keywords
