Future expectations of the average family size in Anbar ‎Governorate

Abstract

Objectives: Identifying the future size of the family in Anbar Governorate, by knowing the preferred number of children for the family, regardless of the actual family size. The results of the 1997 population census, the results of the 2021 field study, office sources, and some statistical methods, including the population projection equation, were relied upon. As well as using tables, maps and figures to facilitate comparison and draw conclusions Method: The research relied on the analytical-deductive approach and the adoption of quantitative methods to identify the existing reality of family size and predict the future of families in Anbar Governorate. Results: The trend towards reducing family size in Anbar Governorate appears clear in the future. However, it is not similar to its counterpart in developed countries. Rather, the trend is towards families with a size of (5-6) children, who prefer the countryside, at a rate of (42.9%) of the total families in the countryside, compared to (41.4%) of the total urban families who prefer (3-4). ) children. Conclusion: The average family size for the year 2031 throughout the governorate will decrease to (7.1) individuals in 2031, after it was (7.6) in 2021, and it will decrease in urban areas to (6.8) individuals in 2031, after it was (7.2) individuals. It is expected It will also decrease in the countryside to (7.3) individuals, after it was (8) individuals for the year 2021.

Keywords

• family
• size
• future expectations