Characteristics of Atmospheric Circulation Associated with Variability of Sea Ice in the Arctic

Abstract

The paper investigates the role of atmospheric circulation in the surface layer in forming the Arctic ice structure. For the analysis, the empirical orthogonal function (EOF) method of decomposition of the surface wind field is used, and the reaction of ice to changes in the principal components of leading EOF modes is investigated using statistical methods. Analyzing the rate of ice change in the Arctic associated with the Arctic ocean oscillation mode, we concluded that this mode’s variability leads to the formation of a seesaw in the ice field between two regions. From the one side, it is the region of the central deep-water part of the Arctic, including the East Siberian Sea, and from the other side, it is all other marginal seas. The second (“dipole”) mode is most associated with an increase/decrease in the ice thickness at the Arctic exit through the Fram Strait, as well as the formation of the so-called “ice factory” in the coastal region of the Beaufort Sea in the positive phase of this mode. There is also a significant relationship between the variability of third mode and the arrival of Atlantic waters with a high heat content into the Arctic through the Barents opening, which creates preconditions for ice formation in this region.

Keywords

• Arctic ice
• atmospheric circulation modes
• EOF decomposition
• ice-ocean simulation