Association between prognostic nutritional index and mortality risk in patients with community-acquired pneumonia: a retrospective study

Abstract

Abstract Background The prognostic nutritional index (PNI), reflecting the body’s immune-nutritional status, has been established as a correlate of prognosis across various diseases. However, its significance in community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) remains unclear. This study investigated the relationship between PNI and clinical outcomes in CAP patients. Methods In this retrospective cohort study, we aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of the PNI in adults with CAP admitted to the ICU. Participants were selected from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database and categorized into quartiles (Q1–Q4) according to their PNI values. We employed Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, multivariate Cox regression, and restricted cubic spline (RCS) models to explore the association between PNI and the clinical outcomes of these CAP patients. Results In this study, we included 1,608 patients with CAP. The observed 30-day and 90-day mortality rates stood at 30.85% and 39.99%, respectively. Patients with higher PNI levels exhibited a reduced risk of both 30-day and 90-day mortality. Following adjustment for confounders, PNI showed a significant negative association with 30-day mortality [HR, 0.93 (0.91–0.94), P < 0.001] and 90-day mortality [HR, 0.94 (0.92–0.95), P < 0.001]. RCS analysis revealed a consistent trend of declining all-cause mortality risk corresponding to increasing PNI values. PNI demonstrated predictive value for 30-day and 90-day mortality in CAP patients, with AUCs of 0.71 and 0.68, respectively. Combining PNI with CURB-65 enhanced the predictive value of CURB-65. Conclusion Our investigation identified a significant negative association between the PNI and the risk of mortality in patients with CAP. Additionally, the PNI demonstrated superior predictive value for mortality risk in CAP patients when compared to the CURB-65 scoring system.