Increasing dominant follicular proportion was associated with adverse IVF/ICSI outcomes in low-prognosis women undergoing GnRH antagonist protocol: a retrospective cohort study

Abstract

Abstract Purpose This study aimed to examine the correlation between different dominant follicle proportions (DFPs) and outcomes of in-vitro fertilization or intracytoplasmic sperm injection (IVF/ICSI) among patients classified under POSEIDON Groups 3 and 4, who underwent gonadotropin-releasing hormone antagonist (GnRH-ant) protocols. Additionally, it sought to determine the optimal DFP threshold for trigger timing. Methods A retrospective analysis was performed on patients classified under POSEIDON Groups 3 (n = 593) and 4 (n = 563) who underwent GnRH-ant protocols for controlled ovarian hyperstimulation (COH) between 2016 and 2022. These patients were categorized into two groups based on their DFPs, defined as the ratio of ≥ 18-mm dominant follicles to ≥ 12-mm follicles on the trigger day (DFP ≤ 40% and DFP ≥ 40%). Statistical analyses, including restricted cubic spline (RCS) and multivariate logistic regression, were employed to assess the relationship between DFP and IVF/ICSI outcomes. Results Demographic characteristics of patients were similar across groups. In POSEIDON Groups 3 and 4, DFP > 40 was associated with a significant decrease in the number (No.) of oocytes retrieved, cleaved embryos, and available embryos. Moreover, following the GnRH-ant cycle, the clinical pregnancy and live birth rates in fresh embryo transfer (ET) were notably reduced in the DFP > 40 group compared with the DFP ≤ 40 group, whereas no significant differences were observed in the pregnancy outcomes of the first frozen-thawed embryo transfer (FET) between the groups. In POSEIDON Group 3, the cumulative clinical pregnancy rate (CCPR) and cumulative live birth rate (CLRB) were significantly higher in the DFP ≤ 40 subgroup than in the DFP > 40 subgroup, with a notable decrease in CLRB observed with increasing DFP levels. However, in POSEIDON Group 4, no significant differences in CCPR and CLRB were found between the groups. Logistic regression analysis identified age and the No. of oocytes retrieved as pivotal factors influencing CLRB in Group 4. Conclusion For patients in POSEIDON Group 3, maintaining a DFP ≤ 40 mm is crucial to achieve optimal laboratory and pregnancy outcomes by avoiding delayed triggering. However, for patients in POSEIDON Group 4, age remains a critical factor influencing CLRB regardless of DFP, although a higher No. of oocytes retrieved and available embryos with DFP ≤ 40 is beneficial.

Keywords

• GnRH antagonist protocol
• POSEIDON criteria
• DFP
• Trigger timing
• Embryo transfer (ET)
• Cumulative live birth rate