A Comparative Study on Wind Energy Assessment Distribution Models: A Case Study on Weibull Distribution

Abstract

Wind power generation highly depends on the determination of wind power potential, which drives the design and feasibility of the wind energy production investment. This gives an important role to wind power estimation, which creates the need for an accurate wind data analysis and wind energy potential assessments for a given location. Such assessments require the implementation of an accurate and suitable wind distribution model. Therefore, in the quest for a well-fitted model, eight methods for estimating the Weibull parameters are investigated in this paper. The methods were then investigated by employing statistical tools, and their performances have been discussed in terms of various error indicators such as root mean squared error (RMSE), regression error (R2), chi-square (X2), and mean absolute error (MAE). Meteorological data for diverse terrain from 14 provinces with 30 sites scattered across Iran were employed to examine the performance of the investigated methods. The results demonstrated that the empirical method has superiority over the investigated technique in terms of errors.

Keywords

• Weibull distribution
• parameter estimation
• empirical method
• maximum likelihood method
• energy pattern factor