Nature Communications (Oct 2021)
Understanding the effectiveness of government interventions against the resurgence of COVID-19 in Europe
- Mrinank Sharma,
- Sören Mindermann,
- Charlie Rogers-Smith,
- Gavin Leech,
- Benedict Snodin,
- Janvi Ahuja,
- Jonas B. Sandbrink,
- Joshua Teperowski Monrad,
- George Altman,
- Gurpreet Dhaliwal,
- Lukas Finnveden,
- Alexander John Norman,
- Sebastian B. Oehm,
- Julia Fabienne Sandkühler,
- Laurence Aitchison,
- Tomáš Gavenčiak,
- Thomas Mellan,
- Jan Kulveit,
- Leonid Chindelevitch,
- Seth Flaxman,
- Yarin Gal,
- Swapnil Mishra,
- Samir Bhatt,
- Jan Markus Brauner
Affiliations
- Mrinank Sharma
- Department of Statistics, University of Oxford
- Sören Mindermann
- Oxford Applied and Theoretical Machine Learning (OATML) Group, Department of Computer Science, University of Oxford
- Charlie Rogers-Smith
- OATML Group (work done while at OATML as an external collaborator), Department of Computer Science, University of Oxford
- Gavin Leech
- Department of Computer Science, University of Bristol
- Benedict Snodin
- Future of Humanity Institute, University of Oxford
- Janvi Ahuja
- Future of Humanity Institute, University of Oxford
- Jonas B. Sandbrink
- Future of Humanity Institute, University of Oxford
- Joshua Teperowski Monrad
- Future of Humanity Institute, University of Oxford
- George Altman
- Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust
- Gurpreet Dhaliwal
- The Francis Crick Institute
- Lukas Finnveden
- Future of Humanity Institute, University of Oxford
- Alexander John Norman
- Mathematical, Physical and Life Sciences (MPLS) Doctoral Training Centre, University of Oxford
- Sebastian B. Oehm
- Medical Research Council Laboratory of Molecular Biology
- Julia Fabienne Sandkühler
- University of Essen
- Laurence Aitchison
- Department of Computer Science, University of Bristol
- Tomáš Gavenčiak
- Independent scholar
- Thomas Mellan
- Medical Research Council (MRC) Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London
- Jan Kulveit
- Future of Humanity Institute, University of Oxford
- Leonid Chindelevitch
- Medical Research Council (MRC) Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London
- Seth Flaxman
- Department of Mathematics, Imperial College London
- Yarin Gal
- Oxford Applied and Theoretical Machine Learning (OATML) Group, Department of Computer Science, University of Oxford
- Swapnil Mishra
- Medical Research Council (MRC) Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London
- Samir Bhatt
- Medical Research Council (MRC) Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London
- Jan Markus Brauner
- Future of Humanity Institute, University of Oxford
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-26013-4
- Journal volume & issue
-
Vol. 12,
no. 1
pp. 1 – 13
Abstract
European governments control resurging waves of COVID-19 using nonpharmaceutical interventions. Here, the authors estimate the effectiveness of 17 interventions in Europe’s second wave, and analyse differences to the first wave as well as implications for the future of the pandemic.