Growth, institutions and power groups. The forgotten effects in Sinaloa, 1994-2014

Abstract

Through a non-numerical model, this research identifies the relations of causality revealed by omissions of the power groups that are in charge of political and economic institutions in Sinaloa, and which account for the weak local economic growth. This contribution lies in the use of a methodology that evaluates economic performance based on the subjective assessment of experts’ thinking, who are members of the power elite. For this purpose, postulates of the fuzzy subset theory and the forgotten effects model are introduced. The results suggest that the causes of technological backwardness are a fragile democracy and a weak citizen participation, which reduce growth potential by accumulating degrees of omission. Deficient investment in human capital, technology and research and development leads to insufficient technical progress, educational backwardness, technological stagnation and crime.

Keywords

• crecimiento económico
• instituciones
• grupos de poder
• efectos olvidados
• incidencia
• subconjuntos borrosos
• economic growth
• institutions
• power groups
• forgotten effects
• incidence
• fuzzy subsets