Sociologie Românească (Apr 2000)
Dinamica regională a opțiunilor politice 1996-2000
Abstract
Is voting behavior depending on geography? What can we learn from the last elections as compared with 1996? By studying changes of voting profile on regions we can disclose hidden significances of political options. For instance why voting PRM in 2000 is highly correlating to voting CDR in 1996 in some Western areas and in the Eastern poverty strip? Different motives could be depicted for the two cases, even though there is a single „voting engine": frustration. While for Transilvania it seems that nationalistic sentiments were disappointed by CDR governance, in Eastern Moldavia, CDR has never been so popular. Negative options in 1996 (against PDSR), which CDR mostly benefited from, easily converted to voting for PRM. The lesson is: high level of expectancies bring about high level of disappointment/frustration and negative votes are eventually changing to protest (the core message of some parties like PRM).