FRAMEWORK OF ASCOPE/PMESII FOR MILITARY CONFLICT ANALYSIS IN RUSSIA-UKRAINE WAR

Abstract

The Russia-Ukraine confl ict in 2022-2024 began because Russia considered Ukraine's joining NATO would cause NATO members to side with Russia's military, and this was considered a threat to Russia. This incident highlights the evolution of modern warfare, which includes a combination of conventional, asymmetric, cyber, and non-military warfare. This study uses a qualitative approach with deductive reasoning, supported by a comprehensive literature review. The results show that Russia's strategy focuses on controlling strategic areas and destabilizing Ukraine's politics, while Ukraine adopts a defense strategy that utilizes international support and power asymmetry. The ASCOPE/PMESII analysis reveals how both parties use various aspects of the operational environment (Area), infrastructure (Structures), capabilities (Capabilities), organizations (Organizations), society (People), and events (Events), as well as political, military, economic, social, information, and infrastructure dimensions (PMESII) to achieve their respective goals. This study off ers theoretical contributions to understanding the complexity of resource-based warfare, provides practical implications for the Indonesian Navy in dealing with hybrid threats, and provides managerial recommendations for decision-makers in designing adaptive defense policies. The implications of the Russia-Ukraine war provide educational, inspiring, and instructive insights for the Indonesian Navy in facing future geopolitical challenges..

Keywords

• russia-ukrainian war
• ascope/pmesii analysis
• geopolitics
• national security