A comprehensive study capturing vision loss burden in Pakistan (1990-2025): Findings from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2017 study.

Abstract

This study aims to provide estimates, trends and projections of vision loss burden in Pakistan from 1990 to 2025. Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD 2017) was used to observe the vision loss burden in terms of prevalence and Years Lived with Disability (YLDs). As of 2017, out of 207.7 million people in Pakistan, an estimated 1.12 million (95% Uncertainty Interval [UI] 1.07-1.19) were blind (Visual Acuity [VA] <3/60), 1.09 million [0.93-1.24] people had severe vision loss (3/60≤VA<6/60) and 6.79 million [6.00-7.74] people had moderate vision loss (6/60≤VA<6/18). Presbyopia was found to be the most common ocular condition that affected an estimated 12.64 million [11.94-13.41] people (crude prevalence 6.08% [5.75-6.45]; 61% female). In terms of age-standardized YLDs rate, Pakistan is ranked fourth among other South Asian countries and twenty-first among other 42 low-middle income countries (classified by World Bank), with 552.98 YLDs [392.98-752.95] per 100,000. Compared with 1990, all-age YLDs count of blindness and vision impairment increased by 55% in 2017, which is the tenth highest increase among major health loss causes (such as dietary iron deficiency, headache disorders, low back pain etc.) in Pakistan. Moreover, our statistics show an increase in vision loss burden by 2025 for which Pakistan needs to make more efforts to encounter the growing burden of eye diseases.