Data-Driven Tools for Building Energy Consumption Prediction: A Review

Abstract

The development of data-driven building energy consumption prediction models has gained more attention in research due to its relevance for energy planning and conservation. However, many studies have conducted the inappropriate application of data-driven tools for energy consumption prediction in the wrong conditions. For example, employing a data-driven tool to develop a model using a small sample size, despite the recognition of the tool for producing good results in large data conditions. This study delivers a review of 63 studies with a precise focus on evaluating the performance of data-driven tools based on certain conditions; i.e., data properties, the type of energy considered, and the type of building explored. This review identifies gaps in research and proposes future directions in the field of data-driven building energy consumption prediction. Based on the studies reviewed, the outcome of the evaluation of the data-driven tools performance shows that Support Vector Machine (SVM) produced better performance than other data-driven tools in the majority of the review studies. SVM, Artificial Neural Network (ANN), and Random Forest (RF) produced better performances in more studies than statistical tools such as Linear Regression (LR) and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA). However, it is deduced that none of the reviewed tools are predominantly better than the other tools in all conditions. It is clear that data-driven tools have their strengths and weaknesses, and tend to elicit distinctive results in different conditions. Hence, this study provides a proposed guideline for the selection tool based on strengths and weaknesses in different conditions.

Keywords

• building energy consumption prediction
• data driven tools
• energy conservation
• energy efficiency
• energy prediction
• machine learning