Prognostic Efficacy of the Albumin-Bilirubin Score and Treatment Outcomes in Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Large-Scale, Multi-Center Real-World Database Study

Abstract

Introduction: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains a leading cause of cancer-related mortality globally, with treatment outcomes closely tied to liver function. This study evaluates the prognostic utility of the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score compared to the traditional Child-Pugh (CP) grading, leveraging real-world evidence from a large-scale, multi-center database. Methods: The Liver Cancer IN Korea (LINK) research network, a multi-center initiative, retrospectively collected electronic health records from three academic hospitals in South Korea, encompassing HCC patients diagnosed between 2015 and 2020. Inclusion criteria mandated at least one HCC treatment and excluded patients with other primary cancer diagnoses. The study followed patients until death, the last visit, or June 2021, employing standardized data processing and rule-based algorithms for data consistency. The prognostic efficacy of ALBI scores and CP scores was compared through time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and the inverse probability censoring weighting method. Results: From 25,248 newly diagnosed patients, 10,297 were included, with 65.82% having hepatitis B etiology and a mean follow-up of 27.49 months. Patients’ classification by modified ALBI (mALBI) grade at diagnosis revealed: grade 1 (48.87%), 2a (20.50%), 2b (24.54%), and 3 (5.17%), with a minimal percentage missing (0.92%). Transarterial therapy (54.07%) and tyrosine kinase inhibitors (84.14% as the first-line systemic therapy) were predominant treatments. The ALBI score demonstrated greater prognostic efficacy than the CP score in long-term outcomes, with time-dependent area under the ROC curve analysis showing a score of 0.71 for ALBI versus 0.67 for CP at 60 months. Furthermore, higher mALBI grades were significantly associated with poorer survival outcomes, as indicated by both univariate and multivariate Cox proportional regression model analyses (p < 0.001). Conclusions: The study confirmed the ALBI score’s superior prognostic ability over the CP score, especially evident in long-term outcomes, suggesting a shift toward more nuanced liver function assessment tools in real-world clinical practice.

Keywords

• hepatocellular carcinoma
• treatment outcomes
• albumin-bilirubin score
• real-world evidence
• electronic health records