A SECURITIZED POOL OF OPERATING LEASE ASSETS AND ITS RESIDUAL VALUE RISK EVALUATION

Abstract

Leasing has proved itself as a powerful and effective area for the investment development of individual enterprises and industries. The competition in the market of lease services encourages leasing companies to expand the lease product range and seek alternative sources of financing lease transactions, of which securitization may become a promising tool. After the transition of the Russian banking system to international standards of capital calculation in the framework of Basel II and Basel III agreements, operations of lease assets securitization will have to meet the capital reservation requirements. Accordingly, the introduction of new standards makes it necessary to analyze their possible impact on the securitization attractiveness to the lessors. By an example of the default data of the securitized Volkswagen pool of operating lease assets the current research proves that the Basel committee’s methodology for the capital requirements definition is excessively conservative in respect of the residual value risk. Current foreign investigations into the subject also consistently express the viewpoint that the leasing industry is characterized by rather high recovery rates. This article proposes a new author’s approach to the residual value risk evaluation modifying the Basel methodology in respect of forming capital requirements upon lease assets securitization. The author’s model has been tested on a Volkswagen securitization transaction. The considered approach is based on the Gumbel copula model.

Keywords

• секьюритизация
• активы оперативного лизинга
• риск остаточной стоимости
• требования к капиталу
• базель ii
• модель копула
• базель iii