Frontiers in Psychology (Nov 2020)
The Psychology Underlying Biased Forecasts of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in the United States
Abstract
This paper discusses the impact of a series of psychological phenomena on the U.S. response to COVID-19, focusing on forecasts of cases and deaths. The specific phenomena comprise unrealistic optimism bias, overconfidence, anchoring and adjustment, representativeness, motivated reasoning, and groupthink.
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