A Spatial Downscaling Method for Solar-Induced Chlorophyll Fluorescence Product Using Random Forest Regression and Drought Monitoring in Henan Province

Abstract

Drought is a frequent global phenomenon. Solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF), an electromagnetic signal, has been proven to be an efficient tool for monitoring and assessing gross primary productivity (GPP) and drought. To address the issue of the sparse resolution of satellite-based SIF, researchers have developed different downscaling algorithms. Recently, the most frequently used SIF products had a spatial resolution of 0.05 degrees. However, these spatial resolution SIF data are not conducive to regional agricultural drought monitoring. In this study, we utilized the global ‘OCO-2’ solar-induced fluorescence (GOSIF) products along with normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and land surface temperature (LST) products. With the powerful advantages offered by Google Earth Engine (GEE), we could conveniently acquire the necessary data. Additionally, employing the random forest (RF) method, we successfully acquired downscaled SIF data at an enhanced spatial resolution of 1 km. Using those downscaled SIF results with 1 km resolution, an SIF anomaly index was established and calculated to monitor drought. Results showed that the RF-based downscaled SIF result followed the same trend as the GOSIF value. Subsequently, correlation coefficients between SIF and GPP were calculated. The downscaled SIF demonstrated a higher correlation with GPP from MODIS compared to 0.05-degree GOSIF, with coefficients of 0.74 and 0.68 in May 2018, respectively. Moreover, the SIF anomaly index showed positive correlations with crop yield; the correlation coefficients were 0.93 for wheat and 0.89 for maize. The drought index had a negative correlation with areas affected by drought, with a correlation coefficient of −0.58. Finally, the SIF anomaly index was used to monitor drought from 2001 to 2020 in Henan Province. The 1 km SIF results obtained through the RF-based downscaled method were deemed reliable, thereby establishing the suitability of the SIF anomaly index for drought monitoring at a regional scale.

Keywords

• solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence
• drought
• random forest
• downscaling