The risk of biological invasion by red-eared slider turtles (Trachemys scripta elegans) in China inferred from niche shifting

Abstract

Invasive alien species can cause significant economic and social-environmental damage after their invasive success. The red-eared slider (Trachemys scripta elegans) is among the first and worst invasive alien species introduced to China and has been recorded in numerous regions worldwide, not limited to China. In this study, we used species distribution models to predict the potential suitable habitat areas for T. s. elegans and compare the realized niche between its invaded and native ranges. Additionally, we forecasted changes in suitable habitat areas under different future scenarios. We found that the invaded range of T. s. elegans is projected to continue expanding in the future, imposing greater pressure on biological control efforts. We constructed the niche hypervolume of eight environmental variables in the invaded and native ranges of T. s. elegans. Our study demonstrates that: 1) the realized niche of T. s. elegans in China has shifted following its invasion, albeit retaining some aspects of its native range niche; 2) South, Central, and East China has become a region rich in potential suitable habitats in the invaded range of T. s. elegans; and 3) the influence of human activities may be the main reason for the deviation of occurrence records from the potential suitable areas for T. s. elegans. The niche shifting allows this invasive alien subspecies to better adapt to the new environment.

Keywords

• Climate change
• Invasive alien species
• Potential suitable areas
• Realized niche
• Trachemys scripta elegans