Надежность и качество сложных систем (Dec 2022)

FUNDAMENTAL INDICATORS AND PARAMETERS THAT PROVIDE A FINANCIAL LIMIT, SUCH AS THE DEVELOPMENT OF METHODS AND MODELS OF SAFETY, EFFICIENCY, STABILITY AND MANAGEABILITY OF THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE FLEET AND ITS WEAPONS

  • N.A. Severtsev,
  • V.S. Petrovsky

DOI
https://doi.org/10.21685/2307-4205-2022-4-1
Journal volume & issue
no. 4

Abstract

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Background. The article presents a generalized methodology with indicators and parameters for the development of technologies, structures and the necessary finances for the modernization and maintenance of the fleet at a technical and strategic level that is adequate to existing and predicted threats. The problem to be solved within the framework of this methodology is to determine the rational combat composition of general-purpose naval forces (GPNF) and combat equipment within the given limits of appropriations based on the parameters and indicators of the basic variant of their development. Materials and methods. The proposed methodology consists in performing the following activities: setting the initial conditions for carrying out calculations, such as: the decomposition of the weapons system of the GPNF, the combat strength at the beginning of the planning period, the dynamics of its degradation without taking into account the activities of the state armaments program (SAP), the list and boundary levels for solving problems by the forces and means of the GPNF, required for this the combat composition of the forces and means of the fleet, the cost parameters of the SAP measures; formation of a matrix of the state of forces and means of the GPNF, based on the initial conditions, and conditions at the end of the planning period; determination of a rational ratio of expenses for the development of the maritime strike component and other means of the GPNF based on the amount of appropriations allocated to the GPNF as a whole; solving the optimization problem of choosing a rational option for transforming the required combat (ship) composition of the GPNF under the allocated appropriation limit with the formation of a list of the main activities of the SAP based on the required (reference) option; assessment of the consequences of the implementation of the development of the GPNF in the format of the state matrix. Results. The result of the application of the methodology is the possibility of forming the values of the parameters that characterize the system of weapons of the GPNF, including the combat composition of the marine strike component of the GPNF, as well as the values of the indicators for solving problems for the fleets by the forces of the GPNF at the end of the program period. Conclusions. Carrying out the above works allows to reduce the total amount of appropriations allocated to the GPNF for the program period, including by life cycle stages. The main program activities of the SAP provide the obtained values of the combat strength of the fleets and the achieved levels of problem solving, while significantly increasing the stability indicators of the proposed option for the development of the marine strike component of the GPNF.

Keywords