Water (Mar 2024)
Monitoring and Early Warning Method of Debris Flow Expansion Behavior Based on Improved Genetic Algorithm and Bayesian Network
Abstract
Based on an improved genetic algorithm and debris flow disaster monitoring network, this study examines the monitoring and early warning method of debris flow expansion behavior, divides the risk of debris flow disaster, and provides a scientific basis for emergency rescue and post-disaster recovery. The function of the debris flow disaster monitoring network of the spreading behavior disaster chain is constructed. According to the causal reasoning of debris flow disaster monitoring information, the influence factors of debris flow, such as rainfall intensity and duration, are selected as the inputs of the Bayesian network, and the probability of a debris flow disaster is obtained. The probability is compared with the historical data threshold to complete the monitoring and early warning of debris flow spreading behavior. Innovatively, by introducing niche technology to improve traditional genetic algorithms by learning Bayesian networks, the optimization efficiency and convergence speed of genetic algorithms are improved, and the robustness of debris flow monitoring and warning is enhanced. The experimental results show that this method divides debris flow disasters into the following five categories based on their danger: low-risk area, medium-risk area, high-risk area, higher-risk area, and Very high-risk area. It accurately monitors the expansion of debris flows and completes early warning. The disaster management department can develop emergency rescue and post-disaster recovery strategies based on early warning results, thus providing a scientific basis for debris flow disasters. The improved genetic algorithm has a higher learning efficiency, a higher accuracy, a faster convergence speed, and higher advantages in learning time and accuracy of the Bayesian network structure.
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