Sensitivity and uncertainty analysis of βeff for MYRRHA using a Monte Carlo technique

Abstract

This paper presents a nuclear data sensitivity and uncertainty analysis of the effective delayed neutron fraction βeff for critical and subcritical cores of the MYRRHA reactor using the continuous-energy Monte Carlo N-Particle transport code MCNP. The βeff sensitivities are calculated by the modified k-ratio method proposed by Chiba. Comparing the βeff sensitivities obtained with different scaling factors a introduced by Chiba shows that a value of a = 20 is the most suitable for the uncertainty quantification of βeff. Using the calculated βeff sensitivities and the JENDL-4.0u covariance data, the βeff uncertainties for the critical and subcritical cores are determined to be 2.2 ± 0.2% and 2.0 ± 0.2%, respectively, which are dominated by delayed neutron yield of 239Pu and 238U.