A Novel Non-Parametric Spatiotemporal Scan Statistic: An Application to Detect Disease Outbreaks

Abstract

The majority of the widely used scan statistics are based on distributional assumptions. Contrary to the existing methods, with a new perspective in clustering, the Mann-Whitney Scan Statistic was introduced to detect clusters in continuous data indexed by time or space, without any distributional assumptions or parameters to set up. We propose an extension of the Mann-Whitney Scan Statistic that can be applied to spatiotemporal data based on spatiotemporal distance measure. This novel scan statistic is distribution-free and seems to be powerful against parametric spatiotemporal scan statistics. The results are applicable in a wide variety of spatiotemporal domains, including epidemiology, socioeconomic analysis and climate sciences, irrespective of continuous or discrete data.

Keywords

• scan statistics
• non-parametric
• spatiotemporal scan statistics
• cluster detection
• disease outbreaks
• COVID-19